The Year Is Half-Over. How Did The Housing Experts Fare On Their Predictions?
As 2009 was ending, the “experts” were busy making forecasts about the U.S. economy and what to expect in 2010.
With respect to the housing markets, two predictions were made again and again:
- Home prices would fall in the first half of 2010
- Mortgage rates would be higher in 2010
Well, it’s July 1 and the year is half-over. Both predictions are proving to be incorrect. Home values are rising in most markets and mortgage rates are down. Way down.
It reminds us that economists are much more skilled with analysis of the past versus predictions of the future.
A pile of data can only get you so far.
Think of housing market predictions like watching a local weather forecast. A meteorologist can look at the radar and tell you that rain is coming, but it’s never with 100% certainty. There is always a chance of change.
The housing market is the same way. Just as the U.S. economy is unpredictable, so are housing prices, and so are mortgage rates.
Therefore, when you have a personal finance decision to make, evaluate your options based on the information at hand today rather than an educated guess about the future. The future, after all, is subject to change — despite what the experts forecast.
Related posts:
- Housing And Mortgage : The Experts Make Their 2012 Predictions
- Mid-Year Review : Were The Experts Right About The Market?
- With The Year Half-Over, How Accurately Did Economists Predict 2009
Michael Haigh has 20+ years of professional experience in the banking and mortgage industry. He has the knowledge, education, and dedication to get you the best loan for your situation, answer your questions honestly and completely, and make your mortgaging experience a pleasure. His reputation includes being the number one lender in the country for CitiBank for 9 years, then at Chase for 1 year and now with WJ Bradley since August of 2009. This is because of the quantity of loans, myriad of people he's helped, and his dedication to helping his clients find the perfect loan for them.
